The Hay Group just released the results of its 2010-2011 Salary Budget Spot Survey conducted in November 2010. Over 450 organizations participated in the survey.
The good news it that it appears that salary budgets and are stabilizing (after dropping from earlier forecasts, due to the weak economic recovery). While many employers are planning stable to modestly-increasing workforce levels in 2011, most employers are done cutting pay and people, and most have restored pay cuts and/or cancelled salary freezes implemented in the past two years.
The study predicts 2.8% in overall salary increases for 2011, or 3.1% if organizations planning no increases are excluded from the data. While this is still a historically low number, it is above 2009 and 2010 levels. 2010 pay increases were about 2.7.% in 2010, excluding companies that reported 0% pay increase budgets for the year (2.2% including them), according to the Hay study. Overall merit-only pay increase budgets (excluding promotions, market-related adjustments and other budgeted pay increases) are 2.8% for 2011, excluding 0% budget participants, and 2.5% including them.
Salary structures were increased 2.2% overall in 2010, excluding those who made no adjustments (1.1% including organizations that made no adjustments). Similar pay structure adjustments are predicted for 2011, although fewer organizations are planning 0% increases. Projections for 2011 are 2.2%, excluding organizations anticipating 0% adjustments, and 1.4% including companies projecting no increases for the year.
We expect to see quite a bit of industry differentiation in 2011, as the economic recovery has been fairly uneven so far. Expect labor markets and pay increase budgets to be higher in industries such as energy, technology and biotechnology, healthcare and consulting, while some of the weaker areas include public-sector employers, non-profits, manufacturing and construction.
On a positive note, the study revealed that only 13% of participating organizations have reduced their pay increase budgets for 2011 since originally projected earlier in 2010 (vs. well over one-half of organizations in 2008 and 2009 for the upcoming year's plans).
The Hay Group study also showed that nearly one-quarter of participants (23%) were planning to increase staffing in 2011 (vs. much lower percentages in the previous two years), and this is an encouraging sign for job seekers and the economy alike.
Overall, the trend is towards much fewer pay and employment cuts, and towards slightly increasing pay increase budgets and hiring plans. That's progress, even if it's a very modest show of improvement.


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